Trump projected winner of Iowa Caucuses, DeSantis edges past Haley

Ramaswamy suspends campaign after fourth-place finish

By: and - January 16, 2024 12:17 am

Former president Donald Trump speaks to voters during a visit to a caucus site at the Horizon Event Center on Jan. 15, 2024 in Clive, Iowa. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Former President Donald Trump is projected to win the Iowa Caucuses Monday night, according to The Associated Press, which calls unofficial results for American elections.

AP called the caucuses for Trump just after 7:30 p.m. Central, just 30 minutes into the Iowa precinct meetings. With more than 95% of the vote reported, Trump was leading in 98 of Iowa’s 99 counties.

The Republican front-runner was leading with 51% of the vote, nearly 30 percentage points ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 21.2%.

“We got our ticket punched out of Iowa,” DeSantis said just before 10:30 p.m.

Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, who was narrowly leading Trump in Johnson County, was in third place with 19.1%.

Haley said she was going on to New Hampshire later Monday night and continued to predict she would be the last challenger to Trump left standing.

“The pundits will analyze the results from every angle. We get that. But when you look at how we’re doing in New Hampshire, in South Carolina and beyond, I can safely say tonight I will make this Republican primary a two person race,” Haley said.

Ohio entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, who came in a distant fourth place, suspended his campaign Monday and endorsed Trump. “… There is no path for me to be the next president, absent things that we don’t want to see happen in this country,” Ramaswamy said.

Trump entered the first-in-the-nation nominating contest with a historic lead in the most recent Iowa Poll by The Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom — leading at 48%, with Haley at 20% and DeSantis trailing at 16%.

The DeSantis? campaign criticized the projection.

“It is absolutely outrageous that the media would participate in election interference by calling the race before tens of thousands of Iowans even had a chance to vote. The media is in the tank for Trump and this is the most egregious example yet,” said Communications Director Andrew Romeo.

Most of the candidates were holding Iowa watch parties with supporters and media to track results before heading to New Hampshire and South Carolina, the first and second primaries in the GOP nominating process, to continue their campaigns.

Turnout was brisk at precincts across the state despite low temperatures and recent winter storms. The 2024 Iowa caucuses are set to be the coldest in history.

In the final hours before the state contest, candidates made their final push to bring Iowans out to caucus. Haley held events in Des Moines, Pella and Newton Monday, while DeSantis traveled to Sergeant Bluff, Council Bluffs, and Cedar Rapids to give his final rallying call.

DeSantis repeated his calls for his supporters to go out despite the cold weather in a Sergeant Bluff stop Monday afternoon. He promised that if Iowans will dedicate a few hours to supporting him on caucus night, he will be “fighting for you for the next eight years.”

He also said he believes his supporters are passionate enough about his campaign to show up. The Florida governor thanked volunteers and supporters who travelled to Iowa to phone backers and go door-to-door in the final days before the caucuses, saying it showed the energy behind his campaign.

“The former president, how many people that served that his administration are even willing to publicly support him — much less come in negative temperatures to go door to door?” DeSantis said. “Not a lot. Whereas with us, this is, this is what they want to do.”

In a tele-town hall less than two hours before the caucuses start, Haley answered questions from voters on issues from Israel to congressional term limits. The former United Nations ambassador said that as president, she would work to reduce divisiveness in American politics and change the “tone in our country” to bring Americans together.

She thanked Iowans for their kindness during her time on the campaign trail and urged them to go to the caucuses, bringing friends, family and voter ID.

“Make sure you spread the word, because we are going to do something that’s going to really make you proud,” Haley said. “And I will focus every day on proving that you made the right decision.”

Though Trump did not have public events scheduled before the caucuses Monday, he attacked his rival candidates in a post on TruthSocial. The former president called Haley a “Globalist RINO” who would not be supported by “MAGA” Republicans in the general election, adding that “Ron DeSanctimonious, at least, is MAGA-Lite” and that votes for Ramaswamy are “wasted.”

“Remember, I think MAGA is almost ALL of the Republican Party,” Trump wrote. “… It’s not going to happen for her, or DeSanctimonious!”

The Republican Party of Iowa will release results on their website Monday night. The party has designated volunteers to record and report results at each precinct site using a web-based application, which will be posted publicly following verification by state GOP staff.

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Robin Opsahl
Robin Opsahl

Robin Opsahl is an Iowa Capital Dispatch reporter covering the state legislature and politics. They have experience covering government, elections and more at media organizations including Roll Call, the Sacramento Bee and the Wausau Daily Herald.

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Ashley Murray
Ashley Murray

Ashley Murray covers the nation’s capital as a senior reporter for States Newsroom. Her coverage areas include domestic policy and appropriations.

Kentucky Lantern is part of States Newsroom, the nation’s largest state-focused nonprofit news organization.

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